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DTN Midday Grain Comments 05/02 10:49
Soybean, Wheat Futures Higher at Midday; Corn Mixed
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Friday; soybean futures are 4 to 5
cents higher; wheat futures are 10 to 11 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Friday; soybean futures are 4 to 5
cents higher; wheat futures are 10 to 11 cents higher. The U.S. stock market is
firmer with the S&P 60 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 65 points lower.
The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is mixed with crude .90
lower and natural gas .10 higher. Livestock trade is sharply higher. Precious
metals are mixed with gold up 40.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed with soft spread action as early gains fade,
keeping us in the lower end of the recent range. Ethanol margins will likely
continue to struggle with unleaded still at the lower end of the range. Warmer
weather into midmonth should keep planters rolling ahead of the average pace
with OK moisture coverage nationally. Basis should remain fairly sideways near
term. Double-crop weather in Brazil should continue to allow for good crop
development. On the July chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.82 is
resistance with support the lower Bollinger Band at $4.65.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday with meal leading the
product complex so far with little fresh news to drive action out of the recent
range. Meal is 3.50 to 4.50 higher and oil is 55 to 65 points lower. South
America shows little short-term change as remaining harvest continues to wind
down. Warmer weather should boost emergence for early planted soybeans as
planting progress should remain solid short term around the scattered rains
into the weekend. Basis will likely remain sideways into the end of the month.
On the July chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $10.41, with the
Upper Bollinger Band at $10.81 the next round up.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 10 to 11 cents higher at midday with broad short-covering
returning with deeply oversold conditions still in place and the weaker dollar
likely to add a bit more short-term support along with some Black Sea concerns
returning. The hard red wheat areas are expected to see further showers into
the weekend to continue to promote short-term crop development. MATIF wheat is
firming off the lower end of the range as well. On the KC July chart,
resistance is the 20-day moving average at $5.60 with the next level of support
the fresh low at $5.26.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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